Thursday, August 25, 2011

AUD/USD Elliott Wave count and Fibonacci levels - August 25, 2011

AUD/USD is moving within potential wave C (from 1.0600) of medium term downtrend - colored royal blue in the chart. Within wave C there are A, B and C subwaves (colored magenta in the chart) with subwave C still developing from 1.0533. 

The targets of the downmove are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9928-1.0600, 1.0111-1.0600, 1.0315-1.0533, and expansions off 1.1079-0.9928-1.0600, 1.0600-1.0315-1.0533, 1.0533-1.0448-1.0521.
 
Supports:
- 1.0424 = .50 ret
- 1.0398 = .618 ret
- 1.0383 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0357 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0298 = confluence area of super expanded objective point (SXOP) and .618 ret

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.1079-0.9928, and expansions off 0.9928-1.0600-1.0315.

Resistances:
- 1.0639 = .618 ret
- 1.0730 = contracted objective point (COP
)


Overbought/Oversold

Assuming that the medium term trend is down it's preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (25-30 pips above the current prices) or gets into the overbought area (50-60 pips above the current prices).


Performed by Roman Molodiashin, Analytical expert

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